Brian Wieser, an analyst at Pivotal Research, calculated that Facebook
and Google took 74.6 percent of the digital ad growth in the U.S. in
2015, and about 98 percent of the growth in the first half of 2016.
--
Many researchers base their overall ad spend estimates off Interactive
Advertising Bureau surveys. Although IAB surveys, undertaken by
PricewaterhouseCoopers, are widely recognized within the advertising
industry, they, like all surveys, cannot capture every company operating
on the internet.
--
Another important caveat is the distinction between gross and net
revenue. Research that shows Facebook and Google receive all the digital
ad growth is examining gross revenue, which means it’s only tracking
how money flowed through the channels.
Tracking gross revenue is relevant, even if it doesn’t tell you where
the money winds up. Google and Facebook receiving all the gross revenue
growth indicates that publishers are losing direct relationships with
buyers, Wieser said. Even if publishers indirectly receive a portion of
the spend flowing through Facebook and Google, they lose control over
the deal terms as more spend is directed through the platforms, he said.--
EMarketer is one firm that forecasts net revenue. Its research predicts that Google and Facebook will account for 57.6 percent of net revenue growth in worldwide digital advertising in 2016.
--
An enormous chunk of money sits in between eMarketer’s 58 percent net growth estimate and Pivotal’s 98 percent gross growth estimate.
http://digiday.com/platforms/facebook-google-really-taking-digital-ad-growth/
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